Royals vs Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 8/6/23

Philadelphia Phillies (60-51) vs Kansas City Royals (36-76)

Game Info: Sunday, August 6, 2023 at 1:35 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Taijuan Walker (12-4) (3.99) vs Zack Greinke (1-11) (5.32)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -218 / Kansas City Royals +180 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Kansas City Royals will play the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Kansas City won the first Game in this series by a score of 7-5, but the Phillies bounced back with a 9-6 win on Saturday. The Royals have one of the worst records in baseball, but they have been one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last week. Can the Royals stay hot and get another series win?

Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 36-76 this season and they have won seven of their last eight games. Prior to this series, Kansas City won all three games against the Mets and all three games against the Twins. The Royals have hit the ball very well recently, scoring six runs or more in four of their last five games. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 5.18 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP, and a .263 opponent batting average this year. The Royals offense has scored 436 runs with a .238 batting average and a .297 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .268 with 20 home runs and 67 RBI’s for the Royals. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Zack Greinke, who is 1-11 with a 5.32 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 106.2 innings pitched this season.

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 60-51 this season and they have won four of their last six Games. Prior to splitting the first two Games in this series, Philadelphia won three out of four Games on the road in Miami. The Phillies are 29-21 at home this year, but they are only 27-47 as a favorite. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 503 runs with a .255 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. J.T. Realmuto is batting .247 with 13 home runs and 44 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Taijuan Walker, who is 12-4 with a 3.99 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 119.2 innings pitched this year. 

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Matchup/League Facts

The Kansas City Royals ranks 1st in the league for triples this season (29).

The Kansas City Royals ranks T4th in the league for steals this season (103).

The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T4th in the league for triples this season (21).

The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 6th in the league for walks allowed this season (315).

Pick

The Royals have been playing their best baseball of the season recently, but their winning streak was halted on Saturday. Kansas City is starting Zack Greinke, who has allowed 1, 4, 2, 6, and 2 earned runs in his last five starts. Philadelphia is starting Taijuan Walker, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. We have seen two high scoring Games to start this series and Kansas City is scoring a ton of runs lately. On the other side, the Phillies offense should get to Greinke, who has an ERA over five. I like the over here. 

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